Catching Up and Odds and Ends

David Luciani of Baseball Notebook has spent his last few columns examining a new fantasy drafting strategy. He calls this strategy SSDS which stands for Stick to the Safe Draft Strategy. This method is almost exactly what it sounds like, avoiding risk at all costs. It is well worth reading even if a little obvious for those that have been doing this a while.

Although I guess this is considered bad form I'm going to apologize for my infrequent postings lately. I actually wrote a very long post last week that my computer swallowed and won't give back. I still have this hope that it's on my system somewhere and I'll find it so I haven't gone so far as to re-write it yet. I guess that's bad form too. Anyway, I have been busy. I have been doing news and a column at talentedmrroto.com and regular columns on football and basketball at sportsblurb.com. I also have a few things I'm writing for a couple of baseball annuals that will be out in February. So, I'm not just lazy, I'm also busy.

That mentioned piece that my computer ate included my analysis of all the December baseball moves so far. I will analyze all these moves (again) at some point soon but for now I thought I'd include a list of them so you can consider the implications yourself. Maybe you'll share some of your own opinions in the comments sections or send me an e-mail at jonpwilliams@gmail.com.

The Moves Made (Minus Analysis)

New York Mets
Signed RHP Clint Nageotte, RHP Jorge Vasquez, RHP Lino Urdaneta, LHP William Collazo and OF Raymond Ambres to Minor League contracts and invited them to Major League Spring Training.
Philadelphia Phillies
Signed OF Jayson Werth to a one-year contract.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Agreed to terms with RHP Masumi Kuwata on a minor league contract, with an invitation to Major League spring training.
San Francisco Giants
Signed Ryan Klesko to a one-year contract.
Texas Rangers
Signed RHP Eric Gagne to a one-year contract.
12/18/06 Baltimore Orioles
Signed INF Chris Gomez to a one-year contract.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Signed RHP Yoslan Herrera to a three-year contract; Designated INF Craig Stansberry for assignment.
Seattle Mariners
Acquired INF Jose Vidro and cash considerations from the Washington Nationals in exchange for RHP Emiliano Fruto and OF Chris Snelling.
St. Louis Cardinals
The club agreed to terms with and extended Major League Spring Training camp invites to INF Tagg Bozied, INF Edgar Gonzalez, OF Ryan Ludwick, OF Miguel Negron, C Ryan Christianson, C Danilo Sanchez, RHP Mike Smith and RHP Kelvin Jimenez.
Toronto Blue Jays
Signed OF Vernon Wells to a seven-year contract.
Washington Nationals
Acquired RHP Emiliano Fruto and OF Chris Snelling from the Mariners in exchange for 2B Jose Vidro and cash considerations; Sent C Brandon Harper outright to Triple-A Columbus.
12/17/06 Chicago White Sox
Agreed to two-year contract with 2009 club option with C Toby Hall.
12/16/06 Chicago White Sox
Acquired LHP Andrew Sisco from Kansas City for 1B/OF Ross Gload.
Kansas City Royals
Acquired 1B/OF Ross Gload from the Chicago White Sox in exchange for LHP Andrew Sisco.
12/15/06 Boston Red Sox
Acquired RHP Brendan Donnelly from the Angels in exchange for LHP Phil Seibel; Signed LHP J.C. Romero and C Doug Mirabelli to one-year contracts.
Chicago Cubs
Signed LHP Ted Lilly to a four-year contract; Signed 1B Daryle Ward to a one-year contract with a mutual option for 2008.
Los Angeles Angels
Acquired LHP Phil Seibel from Boston in exchange for RHP Brendan Donnelly.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Signed INF Akinori Iwamura to a three-year contract with a one-year club option for 2010.
12/14/06 Atlanta Braves
Invited RHP Buddy Carlyle, LHP Steve Colyer, OF Doug Clark, INF/OF Willie Harris, C Iker Franco and C Corky Miller to attend Major League Spring Training.
Boston Red Sox
Signed RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka to a six-year contract.
Cincinnati Reds
MLB nullified the waiver claim for LHP Bobby Livingston by the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and the subsequent trade to the Philadelphia Phillies and assigned him to the Cincinnati Reds.
Milwaukee Brewers
Signed RHP Chris Oxspring to a Minor League contract with an invitation to Major League Spring Training.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Signed RHPs John Wasdin, Kip Bouknight, Allan Simpson and Jim Brower, C David Parrish, INFs Eddy Garabito and Don Kelly, OFs Michael Ryan and Chris Aguila to minor league contracts with non-roster invitations to Major League Spring Training camp.
Seattle Mariners
Signed RHP Miguel Batista to a three-year contract.
Washington Nationals
Signed RHPs Chris Schroder and Chris Booker, LHP Mike Hinckley, OF Kory Casto and C Brandon Harper to one-year contracts.
12/13/06 Baltimore Orioles
Declined to tender 2007 contract offers to RHP Todd Williams, OF David Newhan and RHP Aaron Rakers.
Boston Red Sox
Signed SS Julio Lugo to a four-year contract.
Chicago Cubs
Signed RHPs Adam Harben and Matt Harrington to Minor League contracts.
Cleveland Indians
Signed RHP Jeff Harris to a minor league contract with a non-roster invitation to Major League spring training camp.
Colorado Rockies
Signed LHP Tom Martin and C Yorvit Torrealba to one-year contracts.
Houston Astros
Signed RHP Dave Borkowski to a one-year contract.
Minnesota Twins
Signed INF Jeff Cirillo to a one-year contract.
San Diego Padres
Signed RHP Greg Maddux to one-year deal with option for 2008.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Declined to tender 2007 contract offer to OF Damon Hollins.
Toronto Blue Jays
Signed INF John McDonald to a one-year contract.
12/12/06 Atlanta Braves
Declined to tender 2007 contract offers to 2B Marcus Giles and RHP Chris Reitsma.
Boston Red Sox
Gabe Kapler announced his retirement.
Chicago Cubs
Non-tendered RHP Adam Harben and C Jose Reyes, making them a free agents.
Chicago White Sox
Non-tendered RHP Eduardo Sierra, making him a free agent.
Cincinnati Reds
Signed RHP David Weathers to a two-year contract; Designated LHP Brandon Claussen for assignment.
Colorado Rockies
Acquired CF Willy Taveras, RHPs Taylor Buchholz and Jason Hirsh from the Houston Astros in exchange for RHPs Jason Jennings and Miguel Asencio; Tendered contract offers to RHP Josh Fogg and C Yorvit Torrealba; RHP Chin-hui Tsao was not tendered a contract.
Detroit Tigers
Signed OF Jose Mesa to a one-year contract; Non-tendered OF Alexis Gomez, making him a free agent.
Houston Astros
Acquired RHPs Jason Jennings and Miguel Asencio from the Colorado Rockies in exchange for RHPs Taylor Buchholz and Jason Hirsh and OF Willy Taveras.
Kansas City Royals
Designated RHP Brandon Duckworth for assignment.
Los Angeles Angels
Non-tendered RHP Jason Bulger, making him a free agent.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tendered contracts to LHPs Mark Hendrickson and Joe Beimel; declined to tender contracts to OF Jayson Werth or C Toby Hall, making them free agents; announced RHP Franquelis Osoria was claimed off waivers by Pittsburgh.
Minnesota Twins
Non-tendered RHP Willie Eyre and INF Luis Rodriguez, making them free agents.
New York Yankees
Non-tendered OF/1B Aaron Guiel, making him a free agent.
Philadelphia Phillies
Acquired LHP Bobby Livingston from Tampa Bay in exchange for cash considerations.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Claimed RHP Franquelis Osoria off waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Seattle Mariners
Non-tendered RHP Joel Pineiro.
St. Louis Cardinals
Tendered contracts to LHP Randy Flores and OF So Taguchi; non-tendered RHP Jorge Sosa and RHP Rick Ankiel.
Re-signed IF Aaron Miles to a one-year contract.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Claimed LHP Bobby Livingston off waivers from the Mariners and traded him to the Phillies for cash.
Texas Rangers
Signed OF Kenny Lofton to a one-year contract; Non-tendered RHP Mike Wood, making him a free agent.
Toronto Blue Jays
Signed OF Matt Stairs to a minor league contract and INF Jason Smith to a one-year contract.
12/11/06 Baltimore Orioles
Signed OF Jay Payton to a two-year contract.
Los Angeles Angels
Signed LHP Darren Oliver to a one-year contract with a club option for the 2008 season.
Philadelphia Phillies
Invited the following nonroster players to Spring Training: INF Andrew Beattie, RHP Joe Bisenius, OF Ron Calloway, RHP Ryan Cameron, LHP Jim Crowell, RHP Kane Davis, RHP Kyle Drabek, RHP John Ennis, RHP Jeff Farnsworth, OF Greg Golson, C Tim Gradoville, LHP J.A. Happ, C Jason Hill, C Jason Jaramillo, 3B Brennan King, C Lou Marson, LHP Brian Mazone, 1B Randall Simon, C Dusty Wathan.
12/9/06 Atlanta Braves
Signed OF Willie Harris to a Minor League contract and invited him to Spring Training.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers named Chris Joyner strength and conditioning specialist.
Texas Rangers
Signed RHP Vicente Padilla to a three-year contract with a club option for 2010.
12/8/06 Chicago White Sox
Signed RHP Mike MacDougal to a three-year contract with a club option for 2010.
Florida Marlins
Signed OF Alex Sanchez to a minor league contract with an invitation to Major League camp.
Houston Astros
Signed RHP Brandon Backe to a one-year contract.
Kansas City Royals
Designated RHP Scott Dohmann for assignment; Signed LHP John Bale to a two-year contract; Signed RHP Octavio Dotel to a one-year contract.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Signed RHP Jason Schmidt to a three-year contract; Signed OF Luis Gonzalez to a one-year contract.
New York Yankees
Signed LHP Andy Pettitte to a one-year contract with a one-year player option.
Oakland Athletics
Signed C Mike Piazza on a one-year contract.
San Francisco Giants
Re-signed LHP Steve Kline to a two-year contract.
St. Louis Cardinals
Signed RHP Russ Springer to a one-year contract.
Texas Rangers
Signed OF Marlon Byrd to a one-year contract.
12/7/06 Atlanta Braves
Acquired RHP Rafael Soriano from the Mariners in exchange for LHP Horacio Ramirez.
Baltimore Orioles
Selected RHP Alfredo Simon; Traded RHP Alfredo Simon to the Philadelphia Phillies in exchange for C Adam Donachie and cash; Designated RHP Aaron Rakers for assignment.
Boston Red Sox
Selected RHP Nick Debarr in the Major League phase of the Rule 5 Draft; J.T. Snow announced his retirement.
Chicago Cubs
Selected OF Josh Hamilton from the Tampa Bay Devil Rays; Traded OF Josh Hamilton to the Cincinnati Reds in exchange for cash considerations; Selected RHP James Henderson from the Washington Nationals; Acquired minor league RHP Kevin Hart to complete the Baltimore Orioles trade.
Chicago White Sox
Acquired LHP Gio Gonzalez from the Phillies as the player to be named in the Gavin Floyd-Freddy Garcia deal.
Cincinnati Reds
Acquired OF Josh Hamilton from the Cubs in exchange for an undisclosed amount of cash.
Detroit Tigers
Acquired LHP Edward Campusano from the Brewers in exchange for cash considerations.
Florida Marlins
Selected OF Lorenzo Scott in the Rule 5 Draft and assigned him to Triple-A Albuquerque.
Houston Astros
Selected RHP Lincoln Holdzkom from the Cubs organization in the Rule 5 draft.
Kansas City Royals
Signed free agent RHP Gil Meche to a five-year contract, pending a physical.
Selected RHP Joakim Soria from the San Diego Padres and INF Rich Lewis from the Chicago Cubs in the Rule 5 Draft.
Released RHP Runelvys Hernandez.
Milwaukee Brewers
INF Tony Graffanino accepted salary arbitration.
Selected LHP Edward Campusano from the Chicago Cubs; Traded LHP Edward Campusano to the Detroit Tigers in exchange for cash considerations; Selected INF Michael Carlin from the Pittsburgh Pirates; RHP Josh Alliston was selected by the Oakland Athletics in the Rule V draft.
Minnesota Twins
Named Perry Castellano strength and conditioning coach.
New York Mets
Re-signed RHP Guillermo Mota to a two-year contract.
New York Yankees
Selected INF Josh Phelps in the Major League phase of the Rule 5 Draft.
Oakland Athletics
Selected RHP Andy Shipman from the Chicago Cubs in the Rule 5 Draft; Selected LHP Jay Marshall from the Chicago White Sox in the Rule 5 Draft; Acquired OF Ryan Goleski from the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in exchange for cash considerations.
Philadelphia Phillies
Selected C Adam Donachie from the Kansas City Royals, RHP Jim Warden from the Cleveland Indians and C Ryan Budde from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheimin the Rule 5 Draft; Traded C Adam Donachie to the Baltimore Orioles for RHP Alfredo Simon; Selected OF Victor Hall from the New York Yankees.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Selected RHP Sean White from the Atlanta Braves; Traded RHP Sean White to the Seattle Mariners for cash considerations; Released INF Yurendell DeCaster.
San Diego Padres
Selected RHP Kevin Cameron in Major League portion of Rule 5 Draft; 2B Todd Walker accepted arbitration.
Seattle Mariners
Acquired LHP Horacio Ramirez from the Braves in exchange for RHP Rafael Soriano.
Acquired RHP Sean White from the Pittsburgh Pirates in exchange for cash considerations.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Selected OF Ryan Goleski in the Rule 5 Draft; Traded OF Ryan Goleski to the Oakland Athletics for cash considerations; Released RHP Travis Harper.
Texas Rangers
Acquired SS Johany Abreu, RHP Kendy Batista and C Brian Munhall in the Triple-A phase of the 2006 Rule 5 Draft; Acquired minor league C Salomon Manriquez from Colorado in exchange for cash considerations.
Toronto Blue Jays
Selected INF Jason Smith from the Cubs in the Rule 5 Draft.
12/6/06 Baltimore Orioles
Signed C Paul Bako to a one-year contract.
Acquired IF-OF Freddie Bynum from the Chicago Cubs in exchange for a player to be named later.
Chicago Cubs
Traded INF/OF Freddie Bynum to the Baltimore Orioles in exchange for a player to be named later.
Chicago White Sox
Acquired RHP Gavin Floyd and a player to be named from Philadelphia in exchange for RHP Freddy Garcia.
Cleveland Indians
Signed OF David Dellucci to a three-year contract; Signed RHP Joe Borowski to a one-year contract with club option for 2008.
Kansas City Royals
Acquired RHP Brian Bannister in exchange for RHP Ambiorix Burgos from the New York Mets.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Signed C Mike Lieberthal to a one-year contract with a club option for 2008.
New York Mets
Acquired RHP Ambiorix Burgos in exchange for RHP Brian Bannister from the Kansas City Royals.
Oakland Athletics
Signed LHP Alan Embree to a two-year contract through the 2008 season with a club option for 2009; Released RHP Juan Dominguez.
Philadelphia Phillies
Acquired RHP Freddy Garcia from the Chicago White Sox in exchange for RHP Gavin Floyd and a player to be named later.
San Francisco Giants
Signed C Bengie Molina to a three-year contract.
12/5/06 Chicago White Sox
Signed INF/OF Pablo Ozuna to a one-year contract.
Colorado Rockies
Signed RHP LaTroy Hawkins to a one-year contract with a mutual option for 2008.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Signed RHP Takashi Saito to a one-year contract.
12/4/06 New York Yankees
Signed C Raul Chavez to a Minor League contract and invited him to Spring Training.
Oakland Athletics
Named Ty Van Burkleo hitting coach.
San Francisco Giants
Signed INF Rich Aurilia to a two-year contract; Re-signed 3B Pedro Feliz to a one-year contract.
Seattle Mariners
Signed OF Jose Guillen to a one-year contract with an option for 2008; Designated LHP Bobby Livingston for assignment.
St. Louis Cardinals
Signed RHP Chris Carpenter to a five-year contract extension with club option for 2012.
12/3/06 Atlanta Braves
Signed RHP Tanyon Sturtze to one-year deal.
12/2/06 Baltimore Orioles
Re-signed free agent 1B Kevin Millar to a one-year contract with a club option for 2008; Sent RHP Cory Morris and RHP Brian Finch outright to Triple-A Norfolk.
Cleveland Indians
Signed RHP Roberto Hernandez and LHP Aaron Fultz to one-year contracts. Both deals include a club option for 2008.
San Francisco Giants
Signed OF Dave Roberts to a three-year contract.
12/1/06 Florida Marlins
Signed INF Jason Wood and C Paul Hoover to minor league contracts and invited them to Spring Training.
New York Mets
Signed LHP Tom Glavine to a one-year contract with a vesting option for 2008.
San Diego Padres
Padres signed free agent INF Geoff Blum to a one-year contract.
San Francisco Giants
Re-signed 2B Ray Durham to a two-year contract.
Seattle Mariners
Released RHP Jorge Campillo.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Signed RHPs Stephen Andrade and Tony Peguero, INFs Hee-Seop Choi and Jorge Velandia, OF Dustan Mohr and C Yamid Haad to Minor League contracts with invitations to Spring Training.

The Rest of the November Moves

Catching Up On Moves



The Oakland Athletics sent cash to the Kansas City Royals for infielder Donnie Murphy. Trying to find info on obscure Royals' prospects is work and there isn't much to found on Murphy but I can tell you a few things. He was hurt for a good deal of 2006 but still managed to set a career high in homeruns. The Royals once considered him a top prospect but that doesn't say a whole lot about him. In 2006 for the Wichita Wranglers Murphy batted .249/.300/.437 with 14 homeruns and 25 doubles.



The Los Angeles Dodgers signed Left-handed starter Randy Wolf to a one-year contract with lots of incentives. Wolf if healthy is probably just a touch better than average and might manage to look slightly better still in Dodger Stadium. Unless he goes ultra-cheap you won't find him on any of my rosters.



The Toronto Blue Jays gave a one-year contract to Royce Clayton. Clayton has a reputation that far exceeds his performance the last few years. He's passable with the glove but you really don't want him in your lineup. He's an ok piece of filler (because of all the at-bats it looks like he'll get) but long-term he'll bring down your numbers.



The Rockies signed lefty Eric DuBose to a minor-league contract. DuBose isn't very good but he was much hyped for a few minutes a couple of years ago. But trust me he stinks.



The Phillies signed Adam Eaton to a three-year contract. I have to confess that I am an Eaton fan. He's been injured for a significant portion of the couple of seasons but I think he can still become a top notch pitcher in both real life and for our fantasy teams. In his major league career (including all those injury-marred seasons) Eaton has the following line in 861 innings pitched: 9.04 H9 (solid), 1.17 HR9 (a little high but not in an insanely bad way), 3.20 BB9 (this is a little high but not so bad when you consider the way he limits hits and especially damaging hits when healthy. I do know that some people don't believe in a hitter's ability to control the number of hits against him in any fashion other than strikeouts and walks but I'm not one of them, and hey look at Barry Zito's walk rate sometime (career 3.52)), 6.96 K9. Plus, he all the intangible qualities you want in a starter.



The Boston Red Sox signed left-hander Hideki Okajima to a two year contract with a club option for 2009. From the scouting reports I've read Okajima is a solid left-handed reliever who should have success against lefties and righties. He will probably end up as a LOOGY for the Red Sox.



The Orioles added yet another reliever to their mix in right-handed under-hand pitcher Chad Bradford. Bradford was one of the stars of money ball and is a solid set-up man. There are some becoming nervous about the hold Chris Ray will have on the Orioles' closer job should he struggle at all this coming season. Did you worry last season when you drafted a rookie to be your closer? I don't think you should worry more than you did last season. If anything its the Baltimore starters that are going to be limited. I have a feeling that any starter other than Erik Bedard is going to have to be pitching lights out to finish the sixth inning and maybe even the fifth.



I'll be finishing off the old moves in few hours. I need to get past this hurdle.

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Frenzied Major League Action Part One

You might think that taking eight days off from covering baseball moves in November and December before the start of the annual winter meetings would be a safe move. You would be wrong this year. The teams in Major League Baseball seem to be in a hurry to get their teams built this season which has resulted in an exciting and frenzied off-season thus far. But there are a ton of moves to look at and I'm trying to keep up but this may take a couple of posts over the next few days to complete. Some of this was written a few days ago but I'm not going to edit much so please bare with me on any out of date comments.



The Moves Made



It seems like ages ago that the Dodgers signed Juan Pierre to a stunning five-year contract worth $44 million. As a fantasy guy Juan Pierre has some serious value but I still have to wonder why the Dodgers made this move. They already had Andre Ethier established in the lineup and they have center fielder Matt Kemp just about ready to play in the majors. Kemp has been compared to slugger Dave Winfield in ability. J.D. Drew took off to earn a few million extra (most likely from the Red Sox) but the Dodgers have been hot after Manny Ramirez to take Drew's spot in the lineup. So why block Kemp with Pierre when you have his slightly better clone at shortstop in Rafael Furcal when you've already blocked first baseman James Loney who was ready to take over first base from Nomar Garciaparra? The Dodgers may be including Kemp and Loney as well as powerful relief prospect Jonathan Broxton in the trade for Manny Ramirez which I guess would be a decent use of those talents but sort of surprising from a team that could have been both cheap and good in a few years. Now the future of the Dodgers must be right now to take advantage of the prime years of Garciaparra and Manny Ramirez.



The Astros signed Carlos Lee to a huge six-year contract worth $100 million. Lee is a pretty good slugger and should be great for fantasy owners in Minute Maid Park. The Astros needed a big bat in their lineup and this allows the Astros to keep Lance Berkman at first base where he is much better defensively (not that Carlos Lee is any great shakes). Despite what fans are often led to believe the Astros can afford to make moves like this and should Roger Clemens and Andy Pettitte decide to return for another season they can afford them too. The Houston Astros are cheap and miserly not poor or as small market as they'd like you to believe.



The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks hooked up to make a six-player trade. The Brewers sent left-handed starter Doug Davis and left-handed starting pitcher prospect Dana Eveland and center fielder David Krynzel to the D'Backs for catcher Johnny Estrada, right-handed starter Claudio Vargas and set-up man Greg Aquino. My first instinct is to declare the D'Backs thieves and the Brewers robbed.



The Brewers get an upgrade at catcher with Estrada replacing the solid but ordinary Damian Miller and is an obvious defensive upgrade over Mike Rivera who was impressive with the bat in a limited audition late in the season. Doug Davis (excluding the 2006 season) has been a much better starting option than Claudio Vargas. But Vargas has better stuff and look at his numbers outside of Arizona 87.1 IP, 83 hits, 23 walks, 65 strikeouts with a 4.12 earned run average and a 1.22 whip. Those numbers in combination with a superior pitching coach in Mike Maddux and a better home park in Miller Park (Miller Park has a runs factor of 1.004 while Chase Field has a factor of 1.141) serve to make Claudio Vargas a pretty decent sleeper especially if you're only paying for a player that had an 4.83 earned run average and 1.41 whip in 2006. Greg Aquino is also a decent sleeper possibility. Aquino can hit 100 mph on the radar gun and can get big strikeout numbers. His primary problems have been walks and homeruns. Aquino will probably become Francisco Cordero's primary set-up man and could see some saves if Cordero has a slow start as he did last season. Aquino should also come cheap thanks to a 4.56 earned run average and a 1.65 whip.



The D'Backs needed some talent and youth in their starting rotation and Dana Eveland should be capable of providing it. Eveland has put up fantastic numbers at double-A and triple-A the last two seasons. In 2005 at double-A Huntsville Eveland has a 7.93 H9, 0.33 HR9, 3.14 BB9, and 8.09 K9 in 109 innings. In 2006 at tripe-A he had a 6.09 H9, 0.34 HR9, 3.51 BB9, and 9.43 K9. Eveland has been one of my favorite sleepers for a couple of seasons now despite poor showings in brief major league appearances. He also should be cheap in most leagues.



Doug Davis didn't have a great 2006 season but has been a pretty solid starter the last few years. If he can get his walk rate under control he should be a decent innings eater for the D'Backs. The Brewers only traded him because of his increasingly outrageous contract demands.



The St. Louis Cardinals signed second baseman Adam Kennedy to a a bargain three-year $10 million contract. Kennedy isn't a great player but he will provide the Cardinals with solid defense and a decent bat with some pop and some speed. A huge upgrade over Aaron Miles, of that there can be no doubt.For fantasy purposes Kennedy should be just about what he has been the last few years: a good average in the .275-.290 range, 8-10 homeruns, and 15-20 stolen bases.



The Cardinals also took a shot on Kip Wells and gave him a one-year contract. Wells has great stuff, the stuff to be a frontline starter actually but he has yet to attain that level. He is coming off a series of injuries that may scare a lot of owners off. He had a blood clot problem and a broken foot but his arm, shoulder and elbow should be okay which is all that really matters.



Much much more coming very soon including a look at some rule V sleepers.

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A Royal Move Missed

I managed to miss this move and it seems I was not the only one. But whatever, check out this news revealed on Royals Review:

I noticed that the Royals signed a minor league free agent named
Matt Wright. was highly thought of in the Braves organization.
2006, he was 10-8 3.47 ERA, 137.1 IP, 131 Hits, 57BB 118K and 1.17 WHIP
combined AA and AAA. just AA alone, Wright was 7-3, 2.22 89IP 74H
28BB 84Ks and 1.15 WHIP. may have been one of the Braves minor
league pitchers of the year - not sure on that one. is 6'4''
230lbs. and will be 25 on opening day 2007.
Some of the fans on the Braves blog Talking Chop were disappointed he
got away. would have had him in the Braves top 20 prospects.
an organization like the Royals who are desperate for starting
pitching, Wright sounds like a guy who might be a sleeper. AA
numbers are better than [Tyler]Lumsden (who is a LH and younger).
Wright might be one of those guys who could slip into the picture and
provide the Royals with some hope.

I do not have an opinion just yet but I felt it my duty (he said duty...heehee) to pass this bit on. More later of course.

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Gary Matthews Jr. Wins the Free Agent Lottery

A ton of moves over the last few days, some silly and some intriguing. Ken Rosenthal is reporting that the Los Angeles Angels have signed Gary Matthews Jr. to a five year $50,000,000 deal. This is sheer insanity in my opinion. I have nothing against signing Matthews as your center fielder. He can play defense and has shown some batting ability the last couple of years but to give him this much based on one year as a fulltime player is too large a chance in my opinion. Especially for the Angels who have the arms to deal and acquire a Carl Crawford or Rocco Baldelli as I will discuss in some detail below. This is just crazy, sign Kenny Lofton or someone like that for a season and put this cash towards Vernon Wells or Andruw Jones.

The Moves Made

I'll be skipping most of the additions to the 40-man roster type moves unless I see a name I want to discuss or that merits fantasy consideration. For instance the Rangers added lefty A.J. Murray to the 40-man roster but that doesn't interest me. But the Tampa Bay Devil Rays adding outfielder Elijah Dukes gives me an opportunity to share what I think of him. Get it?

Hey look at that! First up is Elijah Dukes. The Rays are one of the more difficult teams to read in baseball. They are constantly talking about the trade of their best players, role players and prospects alike but they seldom pull off the deals that you expect them to or the ones most commonly rumored. Dukes was given a few at-bats at first base in the Arizona Fall League but contrary to common belief it does not appear that the Rays have any intention of changing his position.

If I have any sense of the Rays' intentions they will trade an outfielder before Spring Training begins for either an established major league starter or an advanced kick-ass prospect. Which gives Dukes (as either the traded or the beneficiary of the trade) a chance at starting in the majors out of Spring Training. In my opinion he is not only ready for the majors but could excel right off the bat especially for fantasy purposes. Dukes has the power to hit 20-25 homeruns right now and will probably develop into an annual 30 homer guy. He has the speed to steal 30 bases but isn't all that great a base runner, that will not matter in most leagues. He already has some skill at getting on base which should only get better with experience. He makes decent contact and has hit for good to great averages at every level. Given a shot to start the season i think something in the territory of .275/.340/.420 with say 18 homers and 15 stolen bases in 400 at-bats. I think the attitude problems are a little overblown. He seems to be fine when he gets to just play.

How likely are the Rays to actually make a trade that makes this happen? On a scale of one to ten I'd give it a six or seven, so pretty good. The Angels seem out at first glance after the signing of Gary Matthews Jr. to play center field but not necessarily. The Angels could simply make Garrett Anderson their regular designated hitter which frankly at this point would probably be better for his arthritic body. Let Chone Figgins play third and put their outfield acquisition in left field. The Phillies are a serious candidate as are the Marlins and Rangers. In fact any team that can use a very affordable outfielder that has a young starter of quality to spare has a chance and should be interested.

The Seattle Mariners added shortstop Michael Garciaparra to their roster. Nomar's little brother looked like a dud and still could be but he has a few useful skills that might be useful on a major league roster. He can play defense at any position, he makes decent contact, can draw a walk (from lesser pitchers anyway) and has the speed to steal a few bases. You wouldn't go into your draft with him in the back of your mind but if you left the auction and Garciaparra at a buck was your worst pick-up I wouldn't be too upset.

The New York Mets signed Moises Alou to a one year contract to man left field. Alou is old but as long as he stays healthy this should be a solid signing. The Mets have Ben Johnson, Lastings Milledge and Endy Chavez in reserve to cover any short term injury issues. Alou is in the same fantasy class as someone like Ray Durham who is consistently undervalued in a lot of leagues. Discounting players based purely on age is a mistake even veteran fantasy players often make.

The more interesting move the Mets made this week was trading RHP Henry Owens and RHP Matt Lindstrom to the Florida Marlins for LHP Jason Vargas and LHP Adam Bostick. Henry Owens is a minor league reliever who is already 27 years-old. But while the Mets don't really have a place for Owens in the majors the Florida Marlins probably do. In double-A for the Mets in 2006 Owens pitched 40 innings and earned 20 saves in 37 appearances with a 4.28 H9, 0.23 HR9, 2.25 BB9 and 16.65 K9. Guys like Owens are exactly what I mean when I say there isn't really any need to spend twenty million on Justin Speier. Apparently only the Yankees, Padres and Marlins have figured that out. Owens could be a decent one dollar save speculation.

Matt Lindstrom is an okay minor league reliever but he doesn't project to be worth much to fantasy players. He did have a decent year in double-A for the Mets in 2006, 9.30 H9, 0.44 HR9, 3.10 BB9 and 11.95 K9. Adam Bostick is basically the left handed starting version of Lindstrom in that he doesn't project to be worth anything to fantasy players. In 115 double-A innings (22 starts) Bostick was 8-7 with a 7.83 H9, 0.55 HR9, 5.24 BB9 and 8.53 K9. In triple-A he made five starts and went 1-2 in 27 innings with a 13.00 H9, 1.33 HR9, 4.33 BB9 and 10.00 K9.

The most interesting player to me is Jason Vargas. This lefty starter spent a good chunk of time in the majors the last two seasons and is still just 23 years old. He has the stuff but not the control or command thus far. He was impressive coming up through the minors and was solid in his major league debut. In the majors in 2005 Vargas pitched 73.2 innings with a 8.67 H9, 0.49 HR9, 3.79 BB9 and 7.21 K9. This isn't star stuff but as a rotation guy not too bad. He completely fell apart in 2006 the numbers were ugly, trust me. But he still has that stuff and he now has that change of scenary which often leads to good things for guys on the verge. If you are in a league with deep benches a late pick on Vargas could work out for you.

The Royals traded a player to be named to the Cincinnati Reds for catcher Jason LaRue who was injured in 2006 and lost his job to David Ross. I like LaRue for the Royals. Their young pitchers could use a more veteran presence behind the plate. LaRue also hits okay for a catcher. In 2005 LaRue batted .260/.355/.452 with 14 homeruns in 361 at-bats. I think this unofficially ends the John Buck tragedy, officially Buck will stick around for a few years as a reserve catcher.

The White Sox added Dewon Day to the 40-man roster. Day was a Rule V pick (the minor league portion) from the Toronto Blue Jays. He had a very good year for the White Sox pitching in high-A Winstom-Salem (at age 25). He delievered 47.2 innings woth a 7.55 H9, 0.57 HR9, 3.97 BB9 and 11.90 K9. You may see him make an appearance in the White Sox bullpen in 2007. Older guys who have good numbers at the lower levels are often either pushed up quickly or forgotten about. I get the impression that White Sox GM Kenny Williams is a fan.

Okay that's that for today. Have a Great and Happy Thanks Giving.

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Soriano Hits the Jackpot!

The free-agents seem to be coming off the board faster than in years past. Alfonzo Soriano has supposedly reached a huge deal (eight years, $135 million, can that be right?) with the Chicago Cubs to be their leadoff hitter. Can you imagine signing a forty homerun guy to hit first in the order? Probably part of the deal was that they let him leadoff, Soriano's preferred spot in the order. But the good news is Soriano could have a crazy fantasy year in Wrigley Field. The Crazy part is the Cubs are going to play him in center field. He has the speed and a nice arm but he isn't exactly a great outfielder yet. In Wrigley it shouldn't matter quite as much as long as the Cubs keep their strikeout pitchers, it could be worse I guess.



Frank Catalanotto has agreed to a three-year, $13M deal to return to the Texas Rangers. Interesting. I was hoping that Jason Botts would get a shot at the DH role. I suppose Catalanotto could play in the outfield but that is not even close to the kind of outfield upgrade I thought they wanted to make. He could be a leadoff option with Gary Matthews Jr. looking for big money elsewhere.



The Mets have apparently gone old for their left field spot. They have apparently reached a deal with Moises Alou on a one-year $8-9 million dollar deal to replace Cliff Floyd. That's not terrible, an upgrade in fact if Alou can stay healthy for the season. It also makes it pretty easy to move in one of the young guys should Lastings Milledge or Fernando Martinez prove themselves ready. I would bet on Endy Chavez and Ben Johnson being on the bench and Milledge being in triple-A (or on the Marlins) next season. I personally think Milledge is going to move on to another team and prove to be a disappointment.



The Dodgers have agreed to a two-year deal with Nomar Garciaparra to return as their first baseman. Garciaparra had a decent season and played well at first base. He had a couple of injury problems but nothing devestating. The big question is what happens to James Loney now. Loney could be included in a trade I suppose or moved to the outfield but I doubt the Dodgers are prepared to go into 2007 with essentially three rookies in Loney, Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier in the outfield. I think the Dodgers are going to find a big power bat to play in the outfield and it might be Carlos Lee.



The Reds have agreed to a deal with left-handed reliever Mike Stanton on a two-year contract. I can not wait to see how money they game him. I'm betting on way too much. They also have signed shortstop Alex Gonzalez (the one with the Red Sox last season).



The Moves Made (officially)



The Los Angeles Angels signed Justin Speier to a four-year, $18M deal to join their bullpen. Why everyone in baseball suddenly thinks they need to spend big money to get middle relievers like this is a complete mystery to me. You can do a lot worse than Speier but you can also do a lot better for the money. Speier, to his credit has strung together three pretty solid seasons in a row. In 2006 he pitched 51.1 innnings with a 2.98 earned run average, 1.32 whip (0.95 whip in 2005), 8.24 H9, 0.88 HR9, 3.68 BB9 and 9.64 K9.



The Boston Red Sox re-signed their utility player, Alex Cora to a two-year, $4M deal. Eh, whatever Cora is okay but not worth much fantasy wise except in crazy deep leagues, I'm talking 40-plus man rosters. In 2006 he had 235 at-bats with 1 homerun and six stolen bases. He batted .238/.312/.298 for the season playing mostly shortstop.



The New York Mets signed infielder Damion Easley to a one-year contract worth $850,000. He's a better hitter than you might think but he probably won't get the at-bats to be worth much as a fantasy player. In 2006 he batted .234/.324/.420 with 9 homeruns and a stolen base in 188 at-bats with Arizona.



The Philadelphia Phillies decided that since they couldn't sign Alfonso Soriano to grab Wes Helms instead. They signed him to a two-year, $5.45M contract. I guess Brian Cashman tried to sign Helms to a slightly better deal for the New York Yankees to play first base. Probably a good move not everyone can handle playing in New York for the Yankees. But it would have been a decent move on the cheap for the Yankees and is a decent move for the Phillies.



definitely wanted to stay in the National League,I knew all the pitchers. I knew all the hitters. I know where to play them in the field. Everybody I know who has changed leagues, it's an adjustment period." Source: Philadelphia Daily News



In 2003 Helms played mostly full-time for the Milwaukee Brewers and in 476 at-bats batted .261/.330/.450 with 23 homeruns. In 2006 Helms has 236 at-bats with the Florida Marlins and batted .326/.386/.572 with 10 homeruns. His splits were pretty even last season batting .336/.414/.505 in 107 at-bats against lefties and .323/.368/.632 against righties in 133 at-bats. He could come cheap in leagues with less experienced players. Even in experienced leagues he probably won't get the respect he's earned the last few seasons. A lot of owners dismiss those that never seem to get many at-bats as lesser talents but that isn't always the case. That's why it is always worth doing the research.



The Texas Rangers also signed right-handed reliever Franklyn German and infielder Ramon Vazquez to minor league contracts and invited them to Spring Training. German was a closer of the future way back when he put up amazing K9 numbers in high-A and double-A with the Oakland Athletics. But he has never been able to get his walk-rate under control. Vazquez is pretty useless in fantasy. He batted .209/.267/.284 in 67 at-bats with the Cleveland Indians last season.



Okay, Closers article is still i progress maybe later tonight. Till next time... Peace.

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Cubs and Tigers Making Moves

The Blue Jays officially signed Frank Thomas as I told you yesterday only the deal was two-years $18 million rather than the $23 million I posted yesterday. There is also an option year for $10 million. Thomas give the Blue Jays the big bat they really need in the middle of their lineup. If he can stay relatively healthy he should make a dramatic difference for them.

The Oakland Athletics promoted bench coach Bob Geren to manager. Geren is supposedly one of general manager Billy Beane's best buds. I would not expect any radical departures from the Oakland system with Geren at the comm. While I'm on Oakland the Athletics may actually benefit from losing Frank Thomas as it gives Dan Johnson a chance to play. Johnson did not have a great season in the majors but he should still develop into a .290-.300/ 30 homeruns type hitter. He may be forgotten in mixed leagues and in AL-only he isn't too likely to be expensive even if he isn't quite in the sleeper category yet.

The Moves Made:

The Chicago Cubs agreed to a trade with the crosstown Chicago White Sox. The Cubs send right-hander David Aardsma and lefty Carlos Vasquez to the White Sox for lefty Neal Cotts.

David Aardsma was drafted in the first round by the San Francisco Giants in 2003. In 2004 he lost the velocity on his fastball for unexplained reasons but has returned since being traded to the Cubs in 2005. He doesn't seem to have quite the package you would want out of a closer but he should be a competent set-up pitcher for a while. If you are the type to take chances on young pitchers (not something I suggest) Aardsma is a guy you might like; his upside is really high.

Carlos Vasquez was suspended 15 games in April of 2005 for testing positive for steroids. Judging purely by his stats I would guess that Vasquez somehow managed to add some serious movement to his pitches, His walk rate ballooned to 5.68 from 2.62 in 2005 (3.53 in 2004) and his strikeout rate went from 8.13 (pretty good) to 10.66 (excellent). Overall, Vasquez looks like a decent prospect who needs to work on his control; probably not worth much fantasywise.

There have already been rumors that the Cubs intend to move Cotts into their rotation. Cotts was a second round pick of the Oakland A's way back when. He was switched to relief when he was sent to the ChiSox in the Keith Foulke trade. Cotts had what looks like really bad luck to me in 2006. His H9 swelled to 10.67 from 5.67 in his extremely lucky 2005. Cotts looked pretty promising as a minor league starter and perhaps that's a better situation for him as besides his lucky looking 2005 he hasn't been great in relief. He also let his homerun rate blow up in his face from 0.15 in 2005 to 2.00 in 2006.

The Detroit Tigers re-signed veteran first baseman Sean Casey to a one-year contract. Casey is not great as first basemen go especially as far as fantasy is concerned but for the Tigers he gives them the same much-needed on-base percentage that Gary Sheffield provides. He also provides leadership on the field which the young Tigers can use, something Sheffield is not capable of giving.

The Texas Rangers signed catcher Miguel Ojeda. Ojeda is returning to Texas as a back-up to the Rangers' new starter Gerald Laird. Elsewhere on this blog you will find my raves about Laird from last season; I love him as a hitter, he reminds me of Mike Piazza in his prime.

Sometime Sunday evening you can look for the offseason's first preparation article on relief pitchers.

Till next time... Peace.

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