The Continuing Search For Wins...

After linking to last year's article in yesterday's Free Draft Kit post, I was asked by a few people for an updated list of the pitchers most likely to add wins to your roster. Remember that the keys are tons of innings, at least a 7.5 K9, and a strong groundball rate. I like the GB rate to be at least 40 percent but I'm flexible if the K9 rate is very high.

I included pitchers with 160-plus innings this year with the hope that we might find a few pitchers ready to make an innings leap. Not many made the cut, due to our high standards.

Name	IP	W	K/9	K/BB	GB%	BABIP	BB/9	SIERA	xFIP
Zack Greinke	171.2	16	10.54	4.47	47.30%	0.318	2.36	2.66	2.56
Brandon Morrow	179.1	11	10.19	2.94	36.00%	0.299	3.46	3.31	3.53
Clayton Kershaw	233.1	21	9.57	4.59	43.20%	0.269	2.08	2.81	2.84
Anibal Sanchez	196.1	8	9.26	3.16	44.30%	0.31	2.93	3.29	3.25
Cliff Lee	232.2	17	9.21	5.67	46.30%	0.291	1.62	2.72	2.68
Tim Lincecum	217	13	9.12	2.56	47.90%	0.281	3.57	3.46	3.36
Michael Pineda	171	9	9.11	3.15	36.30%	0.258	2.89	3.36	3.53
Yovani Gallardo	207.1	17	8.99	3.51	46.60%	0.291	2.56	3.22	3.19
Justin Verlander	251	24	8.96	4.39	40.20%	0.236	2.04	2.99	3.12
Matt Garza	198	10	8.95	3.13	46.30%	0.306	2.86	3.31	3.19
Gio Gonzalez	202	16	8.78	2.16	47.50%	0.287	4.05	3.78	3.73
David Price	224.1	12	8.75	3.46	44.30%	0.281	2.53	3.27	3.32
CC Sabathia	237.1	19	8.72	3.77	46.60%	0.318	2.31	3.14	3.02
Ubaldo Jimenez	188.1	10	8.6	2.31	47.20%	0.314	3.73	3.74	3.71
Mat Latos	194.1	9	8.57	2.98	42.80%	0.284	2.87	3.48	3.52
Felix Hernandez	233.2	14	8.55	3.31	50.20%	0.307	2.58	3.22	3.15
Jon Lester	191.2	15	8.55	2.43	50.50%	0.286	3.52	3.59	3.62
Bud Norris	186	6	8.52	2.51	39.70%	0.294	3.39	3.73	3.73
Ryan Dempster	202.1	10	8.5	2.33	44.10%	0.324	3.65	3.79	3.7
Roy Halladay	233.2	19	8.47	6.29	50.90%	0.298	1.35	2.79	2.71
Madison Bumgarner	204.2	13	8.4	4.15	46.00%	0.322	2.02	3.18	3.1
C.J. Wilson	223.1	16	8.3	2.78	49.30%	0.287	2.98	3.44	3.41
A.J. Burnett	190.1	11	8.18	2.08	49.20%	0.294	3.92	3.89	3.86
Josh Beckett	193	13	8.16	3.37	40.10%	0.245	2.42	3.43	3.58
Chris Capuano	186	11	8.13	3.17	42.70%	0.311	2.56	3.6	3.67
James Shields	249.1	16	8.12	3.46	46.20%	0.258	2.35	3.29	3.25
Cole Hamels	216	14	8.08	4.41	52.30%	0.255	1.83	3.03	3.02
Max Scherzer	195	15	8.03	3.11	40.30%	0.314	2.58	3.63	3.7
Ian Kennedy	222	21	8.03	3.6	38.60%	0.27	2.23	3.44	3.5
Wandy Rodriguez	191	11	7.82	2.41	45.20%	0.289	3.25	3.8	3.72
Colby Lewis	200.1	14	7.59	3.02	34.10%	0.265	2.52	3.88	4.1
Javier Vazquez	192.2	13	7.57	3.24	34.20%	0.279	2.34	3.78	3.87
Jered Weaver	235.2	18	7.56	3.54	32.50%	0.25	2.14	3.67	3.8

The names I find most interesting as potential bargains are Anibal Sanchez, Ubaldo Jimenez, Bud Norris, Ryan Dempster, A.J. Burnett, Chris Capuano and Max Scherzer. These pitchers are the ones on this list I would give the greatest odds of having a breakout season as well as coming at a potential discount for various reasons.

Pitcher Rankings - Three Year FIP

I thought it would be interesting to see the best pitchers over the last three years according to FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching). Not too many surprises.

Name	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	ERA	FIP
Tim Lincecum	49	22	664.2	10.25	3.09	0.53	0.299	0.77	0.47	2.83	2.69
Cliff Lee	48	25	667.1	7.23	1.28	0.61	0.302	0.75	0.43	2.98	2.85
Roy Halladay	58	31	735.2	7.74	1.27	0.78	0.293	0.79	0.52	2.67	3.03
Zack Greinke	39	32	651.2	8.37	2.24	0.69	0.306	0.73	0.43	3.25	3.05
Adam Wainwright	50	22	595.1	7.8	2.36	0.67	0.283	0.79	0.50	2.68	3.16
CC Sabathia	57	25	720.2	8.06	2.5	0.71	0.285	0.75	0.47	3.07	3.27
Justin Verlander	48	35	665.1	8.81	2.99	0.7	0.3	0.70	0.39	3.84	3.27
Felix Hernandez	41	28	689	8.15	2.89	0.64	0.283	0.77	0.53	2.69	3.28
Jon Lester	50	23	621.2	8.72	3.08	0.69	0.3	0.76	0.49	3.29	3.31
Mike Mussina	20	9	200.1	6.74	1.39	0.76	0.321	0.73	0.49	3.37	3.32
Dan Haren	42	30	680.1	8.53	1.75	1.02	0.295	0.75	0.42	3.47	3.33
Tommy Hanson	21	15	330.1	7.87	2.78	0.65	0.282	0.75	0.41	3.16	3.38
Ubaldo Jimenez	46	32	638.1	8.23	3.95	0.48	0.283	0.74	0.52	3.43	3.42
Chad Billingsley	40	32	588.2	8.42	3.59	0.6	0.302	0.73	0.48	3.58	3.42
Hiroki Kuroda	28	30	497	6.56	2.06	0.72	0.28	0.68	0.51	3.6	3.46
Colby Lewis	12	13	201	8.78	2.91	0.94	0.275	0.72	0.38	3.72	3.55
Wandy Rodriguez	34	31	538	8.4	2.93	0.85	0.304	0.74	0.45	3.36	3.55
Johan Santana	40	25	600	7.44	2.46	0.89	0.275	0.80	0.37	2.85	3.59
Roy Oswalt	38	29	601.2	7.42	2.15	0.91	0.279	0.75	0.47	3.44	3.6
Jered Weaver	40	30	612	8.22	2.56	1.01	0.283	0.74	0.33	3.65	3.64
Ricky Nolasco	42	26	555	8.56	1.93	1.22	0.299	0.69	0.39	4.31	3.66
Cole Hamels	36	32	629.2	8.22	2.24	1.11	0.288	0.77	0.42	3.46	3.7
Derek Lowe	45	33	599.1	5.92	2.54	0.72	0.305	0.71	0.58	3.95	3.72
Josh Beckett	35	22	514.1	8.52	2.34	1.1	0.311	0.70	0.45	4.39	3.72
Ryan Dempster	43	27	622	8.2	3.28	0.88	0.292	0.74	0.48	3.49	3.76
Jair Jurrjens	34	26	519.2	6.53	3.24	0.68	0.287	0.74	0.46	3.45	3.76
Matt Cain	35	33	658.2	7.3	3.07	0.86	0.27	0.77	0.36	3.27	3.81
Joel Pineiro	32	26	515	4.86	1.68	0.84	0.295	0.69	0.55	4.07	3.86
Javier Vazquez	37	36	585	8.6	2.62	1.18	0.291	0.72	0.39	4.17	3.86
Carlos Zambrano	34	19	487.2	7.36	4.04	0.65	0.288	0.74	0.45	3.71	3.88
Andy Pettitte	39	25	527.2	6.94	2.93	0.89	0.309	0.71	0.47	4.09	3.9
John Danks	40	31	608.1	6.95	2.96	0.9	0.278	0.75	0.44	3.61	3.91
Scott Baker	38	22	542.2	7.48	2.21	1.18	0.293	0.74	0.34	4.11	3.95
Ricky Romero	27	18	388	7.31	3.73	0.77	0.309	0.73	0.55	3.99	3.95
Jonathan Sanchez	30	33	514.2	9.43	4.53	0.94	0.281	0.73	0.41	4.04	4.01