Hot Stove Junkie: The Pre-Winter Meetings Version

Obviously this should have been published a couple of weeks back. Things got busy for me and production slowed dramatically when I accidently deleted half what I had written. But this is not about the news that happened but rather what the impact to our fantasy teams might be. So I hope you'll still find some value in this. There are two more reports being published very quickly after this one appears. 

Peace and good trading - 

Jon

The New York Yankees Trade For Didi Gregorious and Sign Andrew Miller 

Didi Gregorious makes good contact, has a decent eye at the plate and is willing to take walks. He has solid power for a middle infielder and his fly ball trends are a good fit in Yankee Stadium. He has
good speed but has not been inclined to steal many bases so far in his career. GM Brian Cashman is saying that (initially at least) Brendan Ryan will get most of the at-bats against lefties.I believe this is at least partially a way to lessen the pressure on Gregorious. I like him as an infield option at 10-12 dollars in keeper leagues, a little less in re-draft leagues.

Andrew Miller will need to shave his big bushy beard but this is a great signing for the Yankees bullpen. Miller could potentially close since Robertson did not re-sign, but he is also comfortable as a set-up man. This is especially important if the Yankees push Dellin Betances into the closer role. The Yankees could still add a solid closer option which would be a good idea. The Yankees rotation is thin and loaded with injury issues and anything that allows them to shorten the game is a good idea. Miller's K-rate has steadily improved to massively dominant over the last three years. The control did not come until 2014 and it is difficult to believe that walk rate will not rise at least a bit back towards his career rates. However, as long as his strikeout rate is maintained he should be a very valuable piece of your fantasy bullpen even without the closer role. He is probably approaching a ten dollar player in any case but if you see saves in his future I could see approaching 15 in keeper leagues.

I think it is interesting that the Houston Astros actually made the biggest offer to Miller. The Astros were willing to give him ten million per season. Miller apparently turned them down for a better opportunity to compete and reach the playoffs. The Astros could seek revenge by signing David Robertson (that didn't happen). They are also rumored to have reached out to Sergio Romo and Luke Gregorson (more on that in the next reports) in an attempt to improve their major league bullpen. The Astros have money to spend and someone out there is going to get a crap load of it.

The Detroit Tigers Get Shane Greene in the Deal

The Tigers get Shane Greene in the deal and he could be a surprising strong long-term addition to their starting rotation. Although he was never a top tier prospect he has good stuff and three solid pitches. He didn't seem to put it all together until Double-A which is part of the reason he has not been hyped much. But Cashman always liked him and referred to him as an underrated prospect after his Double-A season. I would not go crazy bidding on him but I like him in keeper leagues and would be willing to spend 8-10 dollars on him. I see a decent profit built into a price like that.

The Diamondbacks get lefty starter Robbie Ray (who the Tigers so famously traded Doug Fister to acquire) and infield prospect Domingo Leyba. 

The Diamondbacks were offered their pick of the Tigers' young, close-to-big-league-ready starters — right-handers Buck Farmer and Drew VerHagen, and left-handers Kyle Lobstein and Kyle Ryan — and it wasn't a surprise to Dombrowski when Arizona's first-year general manager Dave Stewart opted for Ray.

Judging by his performance in 2014 Ray needs some more time in the minor leagues. I would not invest in a re-draft league but I might use a minor league pick on him in a deep draft. I see his upside as mid-rotation starter or strong reliever. He pitched 28 inning in the majors last year and was pretty bad. He also was not good at Triple-A. He certainly has potential if he can find his control again and get back to the level of his 2013 performance. Maybe the D'Backs can draw it out of him. I would avoid investing on Ray at this point.

Domingo Leyba is a long way from the major leagues. He looks like a decent defensive middle infielder with some speed and could develop some pop. He's probably worth a minor league pick if you can afford to wait four years, other wise I'd avoid him. 

Did the Tiger Give Up on Ray Too Soon?

Nick Markakis Signs With the Atlanta Braves 

The Braves were apparently aware that Nick Markakis may require surgery on his neck before the season which makes this signing if not questionable at least a little odd for a team in a re-structuring mode. The problem with a herniated disk in his spine is the reason some are giving for the Orioles lukewarm interest in re-signing their veteran free-agent.But according to Dave O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, Markakis is indicating he could have the surgery soon (he just did) so that he can be ready for the regular season. Long-term, Markakis will probably be fine if he has the procedure done but it could impact his start to the 2015 season. If he does not have the procedure that may be a reason to avoid him, as pain and stiffness in the area could impact his power and swing even if he manages to make it on to the field everyday. The injury has supposedly been an issue for the last two years. Markakis has usually been a 15-20 dollar player but the surgery, change to the National League and the change from Camden Yards (128 HR factor for lefty batters) to Turner Field (97 HR factor for lefties) is enough to ensure I will only draft him at a heavy discount.

Jim Johnson Also Signs With the Braves

Without a shot at saves, Jim Johnson does not collect enough strikeouts to contribute to most fantasy rosters as a reliever. I suppose if Craig Kimbrel went down with an injury he might be capable of stepping in but that seems like a long shot.I am not worried about his performance. Most of last year's badness looks like just bad luck and the usual fluctuation in reliever performance. You can probably get him for a buck and the chance at the occasional save probably makes that a solid investment. 

Nelson Cruz Signs With the Seattle Mariners

Cruz has the power to regularly hit the ball out of any park. Still, Safeco Field (88 HR Factor for righties - Camden Yards was neutral for right-handed batters) probably isn't the ideal landing spot as far as his fantasy stats are concerned. Everything went right for Cruz with Baltimore in 2014 and it seems unlikely to go the same way in 2015. Even if the park factors don't slow him much you can probably count on at least some regression towards his career numbers. I would pay 20-25 for Cruz and expect 25-30 homers with a decent batting average. The Mariners lineup is improving so the runs and RBI totals should still be strong.

The Blue Jays Acquire Michael Saunders

The Mariners basically dumped Michael Saunders over their war of words. Seattle's GM had some negative things to say publicly about Saunder's conditioning and preparation. He could probably use the change of scenery anyway. Saunders should play regularly for the Blue Jays and he has 20-20 potential if he can stay healthy and on the field. He goes from Safeco (a smidgen above neutral power for left-handed batters) to Toronto's Rogers Centre (which has a 125 HR factor for left-handed batters). He isn't a great player but he works well for fantasy purposes. Even in his injury-shortened seasons he has been a 10-12 dollar player. I would try to buy him in the 10-15 dollar area (plenty of room for profit there), assuming the Blue Jays do not upgrade any further.  

The Oakland Athletics Trade Josh Donaldson to the Blue Jays

I was just as stunned as everyone else when this trade was announced. It seems like an obvious move for the Blue Jays. They upgrade their lineup and get a more consistently healthy player to boot. Josh Donaldson should see a small boost to his stats playing in the AL East parks but I would not go nuts about that possibility. Still a move from Oakland Coliseum (87 HR factor for right-handed batters) to the Rogers Centre (129 HR factor for righties) is drool inducing. He was already a  30-35 dollar player and is probably worth the extra buck or two in AL-Only leagues.

The A's also picked up Ike Davis From the Pirates

Ike Davis still has that power but it becomes more and more unlikely every season. However, again, the Athletics have a knack for coaxing a strong performance out of older prospects. Even so, I would not spend more than a buck or two on Davis. 

Some Say Beane and Donaldson were Feuding

Various Reactions to the Donaldson Deal

The Prospects in the Deal Evaluated

For the Blue Jays The Time is Now

Yasmany Tomas Signs With Arizona Diamondbacks

I was surprised to hear that Yasmany Tomas signed with the Diamondbacks. However, I was not surprised that the contract did not reach the lofty heights speculated by the mainstream media. Tomas has awesome power potential but he is not necessarily a fully developed player. He is not as field ready as Jose Abreu or Rusney Castillo (who also seems a bit overrated). I would not be at all shocked to see him spend some time in the minors during the 2015 season. From the little bit of video I have seen of him I don't his swing much. As a fantasy owner I would be willing to make a fairly serious investment in dynasty leagues but in the typical NL-Only keeper league. I would not want to go too far past 10-12 dollars. HQ has him with a 16 dollar projection, that is probably closer to a 20 projection in most keeper leagues. I recognize that I am unlikely to own him in most leagues. The hype around Cuban and other international free-agents has exploded to ridiculous levels. Fantasy owners should be careful not to get too caught up in the hype and forget to keep their bids for Tomas relative to his projected performance.

BTBS on the Tomas Signing and the Future of the Diamondbacks

The SnakePit Does Some Projections

The Boston Red Sox Sign Both Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval

This move was stunning to me. I expected the Red Sox to sign of these players. I thought they were targeting Pablo Sandoval with Hanley Ramirez as a back-up plan. This is primarily because even with Ramirez's newly stated flexibility as to what position he plays I did not think that a team with a outfield log jam would add yet another body to the mix. Hanley Ramirez is probably the best hitter of the bunch, at least in the short term. And I am certain the Red Sox will be trading some outfield assets to improve their rotation.

At this point you know who Hanley Ramirez is as a player. He has good solid power, steals some bases (not as many as in his youth) and has a tendency to suffer nagging injuries that drag down his plate appearances and to some degree his production. He takes walks, makes decent contact and hits the ball hard. He can be counted on for a solid if not spectacular batting average and is always a threat for a 20/20 season when he stays relatively healthy. Dodger Stadium gives a small boost to right-handed power hitters (115 HR factor) but is a drag on all other offense. Fenway Park is close to neutral for right-handed power but provides a boost to almost everything else. You might look for a slightly better batting average with a slight but not significant dip in HR numbers. You can bid 20-25 with confidence especially in keeper leagues, more than that and you're ignoring the injury factor which is a risky maneuver as far as roster building goes.

I knew the interest in Pablo Sandoval was going to be strong. He is younger than most six-year free agents and has been a productive batter and defender at a tough position for a World Series winner. Still, I thought the San Francisco would re-sign him as they typically over pay to keep the players they develop that hit free agency and are really loyal to players that serve them well. I think this is a good move by the Red Sox, they get his prime and should be out before he hits a massive decline. Sandoval hits the ball hard but is not a huge homerun hitter. He makes good contact from both sides of the plate and takes the occasional walk. He is not great against lefties and his production against them has sunk three years running, though it is not disastrous at this point. San Francisco's AT&T Park is fairly neutral for most offensive categories for left-handed batters but trashes homerun production from both sides of the plate.

AT&T Park Factors from StatCorner.com:

PARK FACTORS (LHB / RHB)
K:	101	104		nB:	96	106
gbH:	100	94		ofH:	110	101
1B:	102	95		GB:	105	103
2/3B:	105	101		FB:	100	97
HR:	67	74		LD:	97	94
Runs:	91	86		IF:	86	85

Fenway Park Factors from StatCorner.com:

PARK FACTORS (LHB / RHB)
K:	99	98		nB:	105	103
gbH:	93	98		ofH:	126	113
1B:	98	102		GB:	99	106
2/3B:	153	118		FB:	100	99
HR:	66	99		LD:	104	93
Runs:	100	108		IF:	87	99

Looking at those factors you could be forgiven for the optimistic view that Sandoval's numbers may rebound a bit from the right side of the plate and even hit hit a few more homeruns. He should also be in a better lineup and see a boost to his runs and RBI stats. He has been a 15-20 player most years and closer to 20 in keeper leagues. I think 20-25 is a fair price. I would not pay much more than that and expect a profit.

The Quick Stuff You May Want to Know But Not Necessarily Fantasy Relevant

• Torii Hunter Returns to the Minnesota Twins as far less of a player than when he left but is still a solid player and fantasy option. The change in parks is not exciting however.
• The Mariners Sign Kyle Seager to a Seven-Year Contract. A good move for the Mariners - locking up one of their better players. It could make top prospect DJ Peterson trade bait or force a position change.
• The Royals Trade Aaron Crow to the Marlins. Crow is still young and has closer potential if he reaches his ceiling. The Marlins have been excellent at developing pitching talent. I'd invest a buck in endgame.
• The Los Angeles Dodgers Acquired Juan Nicasio From the Colorado Rockies, and the Dodgers bullpen is looking a lot better and deeper than it was in 2014.
• The Tampa Bay Rays traded utility man Sean Rodriguez to the Pittsburgh Pirates for a player to be named and cash. the Rays made room for reliever Ernesto Frieri. The Pirates will use Rodriguez in the utility role that Josh Harrison filled so capably last season. The Pirates designated Gabby Sanchez to make space on the roster. 
• Ryan Dempster Retires and Joins the Cubs Front Office - I was a Dempster fan and wish him luck.
• Kevin Cash is the new manager of the Tampa Bay Rays. He may have a Terry Francona style as he is often referred to as from the Francona management tree.
• Jayson Werth will spend ten days in Jail for reckless driving.
• Daisuke Matsuzaka returns to Japan. I like Dice-K a lot and I think the Red Sox (in retrospect obviously) may not have been the best team for him to sign with. They spent all that money on him and then insisted on changing his workout routine and trying to change the way he pitched. In my opinion, you sign a guy like that and let him do his thing.
• The Royals Re-Sign Luke Hochevar. If he is fully returned to health he should add quality to an already strong bullpen.

Other Links of Interest to Fantasy Owners

The Impact Moves Will Continue into December

Ryan Braun's Thumb Feels Great

Jayson Stark Suggest Hamels Trade Is Not the Best Idea for the Phillies

The Case for Allen Craig Rebounding

An Older Piece on the New Style MLB Manager

Making Hitters Better Through Science

Around Baseball: News, Links, and Observations

Want a job working for a Major League Baseball team? Joe Sheehan of Baseball Prospectus shares an attempt by a major League team to tap into the knowledge of baseball fans. You can win your chance by sending your answer to the following question (send it by November 9th, 2009) to mlbquestion@gmail.com just don't expect an answer unless you are in the running.

If you had access to all of the information available to a major league team - both public and proprietary data, such as scouting reports, training reports, video, etc - what question(s) would you attempt to answer with that data? How would you go about that process? What potential problems do you foresee?

David O'Brien runs the excellent Atlanta Journal Constitution, Atlanta Braves Blog. This is one of the better sources for information on the Braves and the thinking of their management team. In the post linked above, O'Brien discusses the Braves' priorities for the 2010 season. They have placed a right-handed power hitter at the top of their list of needs. Closely followed by re-signing Adam LaRoche (or another power-hitting first baseman). Interestingly, O'Brien seems to think the Braves could pry outfielder (and right-handed power hitter) Nelson Cruz away from the Texas Rangers and I think he may be right.

But anyway, Cruz is right-handed and hit .260 with 33 homers, 20 stolen bases and an .856 OPS in 128 games, and while his .931 OPS at hitter-friendly Arlington was a lot higher than his .778 on the road, he hit almot as many homers (15) on the road than at home (18) in virtually the same number of at-bats.

Nelson Cruz had a fantastic season in 2009 but found himself on the bench frequently in the second half. This is partly due to minor injuries and a few slumps but manager Ron Washington seemed to like his other options much better. The Rangers are very deep in the outfield. They have rookie Julio Borbon (who looked a lot like a junior version of Carl Crawford) projected as the 2010 center fielder. Josh Hamilton is moving to right field (he's still a stud in case you were wondering). That leaves left field open for one of Nelson Cruz; Marlon Byrd, who hit 20 home runs and who the Rangers want to re-sign; 0r lesser possibilities like David Murphy, Brandon Boggs, and Greg Golson.

The Nationals Farm Authority is repeating a rumor first tweeted by ESPN’s Jose Arangure which suggests that Jeff Zona, currently a Nats Cross Checker could be promoted to Director of International Scouting. Zona was a scout for the Boston Red Sox in 2004 when they finally broke The Curse. I have a good feeling about the direction of the Nationals. Since Mike Rizzo took over they've almost exactly what I would have wanted them to do. The Nats have a powerful lineup that should be even better in 2010. Their bullpen is beginning to look like a potential strength with Sean Burnett, Tyler Clippard, Garrett Mock and Mike MacDougal forming the heart of it. They are quickly building a formidable farm system featuring players with true star potential such as Stephen Strasburg, Derek Norris, and Michael Burgess. I suggest that Fantasy Owners look very deeply at Mike Rizzo's moves this off-season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks completed the Jon Garland trade when the D'Backs accepted infielder Tony Abreu as the player to be named later. There has been some controversy over Abreu's service time but apparently not enough to force the Dodgers to change the compensation. Abreu is a strong contact hitter who does not draw many walks. He has good pop for a middle infielder and decent speed, but does not steal many bases. I think of Abreu as a Howie Kendrick-lite who could have some value in NL-only leagues in 2010, if he wins the starting job at second base. He will definitely be in the mix.

If you have ever found yourself bitching about the price of tickets to the best sporting events you needs to read Seats of Gold. Hell, even if you haven't the insanity that is the Legends Suite at the New Yankee Stadium is worth reading about. I'm pretty certain I won't ever be going to Yankee Stadium ever again. I want to, but I don't think I'll ever be able to do it.

In the downstairs half of the suite, there are all the same food stations -- plus dessert. Ice cream served in little blue Yankees helmets. Or maybe an entire pint for your seat. Pan-sautéed whoopie pies. I get three or four of those and take them to the bar, where I order a $60 glass of Johnnie Walker Blue Label (food's free, booze isn't). A house ad airs on the television in front of me. Apparently, I can buy Kobe beef to take home from the stadium. Yes, there's a butcher here. And an art gallery. I can get sushi and lobster rolls and Scottish salmon in another nearby lounge, along with duck pasta. On the first- and third-base side of the room, hidden from common view behind home plate, sit gigantic tables covered with every snack imaginable. There's Cracker Jack and peanuts, Twizzlers and Twix, Skittles and Starburst, plus five or six other kinds of sugar-coated goodness.

I watch a kid, maybe 8 years old, stand in front of the spread. He's paralyzed. His dad is trying not to laugh, and the boy can't figure out what to take. He's never seen anything like this.

The dad finally laughs. "It's all included," he tells his son. "It's like Willy Wonka."

Welcome to the new America, kid. Too bad you can't save a bag of Skittles in your wallet for 50 years. Luckily, you'll never know what you're missing.

Trade Advice: Shields/Berkman and Jones/Cruz

Hi Jon,

I'm in a mixed 6 team keeper roto league. I'm considering trading James Shields for Lance Berkman. Both of these players will become free agents at the end of this season. Berkman is suffering from some bad luck with his low babip as we all know. Possibly a good buy low situation?

It is important to note that the rest of my staff includes: Webb, Garza, Cain, Harden, Gallardo and Billingsley. I will surely go over my IP limit with 7 starters.

Thanks,
Jason

Hey Jason, in a six team league (assuming normal size rosters) I imagine there is decent talent available on the waiver wire in case of injuries. I love your pitching staff but with Brandon Webb having injury problems and Rich Harden's history of injuries it is important that you have some emergency options. Your staff is excellent and you are correct that if everything goes well you should easily meet most innings limits even without Shields on your roster.

James Shields is an excellent pitcher. He induces groundballs which helps limit the number of homers allowed. The Tampa Bay Rays have emphasized to their pitchers the importance of pitching to contact and allowing the defense to do its part. This has resulted in a significant drop in strikeouts by the starters. Shields has gone from a K/9 of 7.70 in 2007 to 6.70 in 2008 and just 5.05 thus far in the 2009 season. This is dragging down his fantasy value in 5x5 leagues. In addition, his BABIP is a very low .245 which indicates that a correction could be coming along with a potential jump in earned run average. This is not a pitcher to avoid, but his value looks like it could drop off from previous seasons.
Lance Berkman has started slowly. He suffered from a biceps injury that caused him to miss a few days early this season. This was reported as a minor injury and we haven't heard Berkman complain about it since his return. But he is presently batting .189 with six homeruns. His walk and strikeout rates are both a little higher than usual. His power seems as good as usual. This definitely looks (as Jason suggested) like just bad luck caused by a his pathetic .182 BABIP.

I would make this trade in an instant if I were in Jason's shoes. You probably won't have another chance to get Berkman at a value like this again this season as he is showing signs of breaking out of the slump.

Hi Jon

Great site and valuable insights. Wanted to get your thoughts on a trade offer. I'm strong in steals/runs, but need some power. Another owner has offered me Nelson Cruz in exchange for Adam Jones. While both players are at a peak right now, I'm not quite sold on Nelson maintaining his value through the year.

What do you think?

Thanks
Dan

Thanks for reading Dan. I like both players and I did write ups on them very recently. You can check them out here and here. I have faith that Nelson Cruz can continue to hit at his current power pace. The average could take a dip but I have faith that if healthy he will hit thirty homers this season. I like Adam Jones just as much and I think Jones will be a better player in the long term.

You did not provide too many details about your league but assuming there is not anything strange these two players are pretty equal in my eyes for the 2009 season. In a keeper league I would not part with Adam Jones because I believe his future is brighter. I also do not believe that there is a significant enough power difference between the two that would make this trade worthwhile for you. If you really want to move Jones for a power hitter I would aim much higher.

If you have a fantasy baseball question or need some advice please do not hesitate to contact me by e-mail (jon@advancedfantasybaseball.com), by commenting on the blog (you're halfway there already), Twitter me (@bigjonwilliams), or by instant messenger (bigjonempire on both AIM and Yahoo).

Trade Advice: B.J. Upton for Nelson Cruz

Hello Jon,

I'm in a mixed 18 team head to head, keeper, points league. I have just been offered BJ Upton for Nelson Cruz. This looks to be a classic buy low, sell high trade but Upton's high stikeouts and .152 avg scare me. Is he healthy and do you think he will turn his season around? Thanks

James in San Diego

This is definitely a tough one, I'm going to assume that there are no salaries to be concerned with here. I do think that B.J. Upton will come around eventually. As Jason Grey of ESPN recently wrote - it takes a while for a batter coming off shoulder surgery to regain his swing. Some batters will take longer than others. And judging by the struggles that other players like Travis Hafner, Shawn Green and Carlos Quentin endured after their surgeries expecting Upton to recover quickly looks like a long shot. Upton was still recovering from the injury when the season started and I believe that he rushed to get back on the field, possibly to his own detriment. This does not mean I would give up on Upton if I owned him (and I do in a few leagues). Upton is striking out a lot right now and appears to be experiencing some bad luck with balls in play (.231 BABIP). I think at some point (possibly after a stint on the disabled list) Upton will not only get it together but explode in production.

But you don't own Upton, you own Nelson Cruz who is playing great right now. I do believe that Nelson Cruz will establish himself as a major league player this season. He is already on pace for 30-plus homers and around 20 steals with about a .280 batting average. I believe Cruz will only get better when Josh Hamilton returns to the lineup and starts to hit. Cruz does have a very high BABIP right now (so his batting average could come down a bit) but he has been maintaining a high BABIP for the last few years in the minors and I believe his normal level is still a pretty high .330 or so.

Everything being equal I believe Upton is capable of putting up better numbers than Cruz. However, I cannot endorse trading Cruz for Upton right now. You just aren't getting enough of a discount in my opinion. If Upton continues to struggle you may get him for even less of a value than Cruz (assuming the owner does not move him to someone else first). I would counter with a lesser but still fairly productive player and see if he bites. Otherwise my advice is to wait a little longer. You may end up without Upton but you also will not have to suffer through the rest of his recovery and adjustment period.

If you have a fantasy baseball question or need some advice please do not hesitate to contact me by e-mail (jon@advancedfantasybaseball.com), by commenting on the blog (you're halfway there already), Twitter me (@bigjonwilliams), or by instant messenger (bigjonempire on both AIM and Yahoo).

The Wire... Waiver That Is...

I have a an article about ten sleeper outfielders up at Crucial Sports which you can check out by clicking the link below:
The Wire and Sister Aloysius

A list of the players featured:

Travis Buck

Nelson Cruz

Elijah Dukes

Jeff Francoeur

Brett Gardner

Daniel Murphy

Felix Pie

Nate Schierholtz

Ryan Spilborghs

Justin Upton

Top Outfielders Ranked By wOBA

Name	OBP	SLG	BABIP	wOBA
Nelson Cruz	0.421	0.609	0.388	0.438
Manny Ramirez	0.43	0.601	0.373	0.432
Chris Dickerson	0.413	0.608	0.41	0.432
Matt Holliday	0.409	0.538	0.361	0.418
Carlos Quentin	0.394	0.571	0.28	0.414
Ryan Ludwick	0.375	0.591	0.349	0.406
Shin-Soo Choo	0.397	0.549	0.373	0.402
J.D. Drew	0.408	0.519	0.312	0.4
Carlos Lee	0.368	0.569	0.304	0.396
Nick Markakis	0.406	0.491	0.351	0.389
Jerry Hairston	0.384	0.487	0.361	0.387
Jason Bay	0.373	0.522	0.328	0.387
Josh Hamilton	0.371	0.53	0.339	0.385
Ryan Spilborghs	0.407	0.468	0.36	0.384
Grady Sizemore	0.374	0.502	0.291	0.384
Adam Dunn	0.386	0.513	0.262	0.383
Andre Ethier	0.375	0.51	0.336	0.382
Elijah Dukes	0.386	0.478	0.326	0.382
Jayson Werth	0.363	0.498	0.327	0.382
Carlos Beltran	0.376	0.5	0.3	0.38
Brad Hawpe	0.381	0.498	0.343	0.379
Ryan Braun	0.335	0.553	0.308	0.377
Jermaine Dye	0.344	0.541	0.305	0.376
Mark DeRosa	0.376	0.481	0.325	0.376
Brian Giles	0.398	0.456	0.321	0.376
Pat Burrell	0.367	0.507	0.275	0.374
Xavier Nady	0.357	0.51	0.337	0.374
Alfonso Soriano	0.344	0.532	0.305	0.374
Curtis Granderson	0.365	0.494	0.317	0.374
Daniel Murphy	0.397	0.473	0.386	0.373
Magglio Ordonez	0.376	0.494	0.338	0.373
Johnny Damon	0.375	0.461	0.331	0.373
Vladimir Guerrero	0.365	0.521	0.314	0.373
Fernando Tatis	0.369	0.484	0.345	0.372
Jack Cust	0.375	0.476	0.311	0.371
Ty Wigginton	0.35	0.526	0.296	0.37
Marlon Byrd	0.38	0.462	0.332	0.37
Nate McLouth	0.356	0.497	0.291	0.369
Bobby Abreu	0.371	0.471	0.333	0.368
Jody Gerut	0.351	0.494	0.317	0.365
Ben Zobrist	0.339	0.505	0.255	0.364
Conor Jackson	0.376	0.446	0.321	0.364
Denard Span	0.387	0.432	0.342	0.364
Josh Willingham	0.364	0.47	0.291	0.363
Gabe Kapler	0.34	0.498	0.335	0.362
Rick Ankiel	0.337	0.506	0.292	0.36
Vernon Wells	0.343	0.496	0.299	0.357
Raul Ibanez	0.358	0.479	0.325	0.356
Shane Victorino	0.352	0.447	0.314	0.355
Matthew Joyce	0.339	0.492	0.297	0.355
David DeJesus	0.366	0.452	0.338	0.355
Greg Norton	0.373	0.439	0.309	0.354
B.J. Upton	0.383	0.401	0.351	0.354
Torii Hunter	0.344	0.466	0.313	0.353
Ryan Langerhans	0.38	0.396	0.299	0.353
Mike Cameron	0.331	0.477	0.3	0.353
Jim Edmonds	0.343	0.479	0.252	0.353
Randy Winn	0.363	0.426	0.346	0.352
Alex Rios	0.337	0.461	0.335	0.35
Seth Smith	0.35	0.435	0.296	0.349
Matt Kemp	0.34	0.459	0.363	0.349
Hideki Matsui	0.37	0.424	0.32	0.348
Fred Lewis	0.351	0.44	0.367	0.348
Justin Upton	0.353	0.463	0.336	0.347
Eric Hinske	0.333	0.465	0.271	0.347
Clete Thomas	0.366	0.405	0.36	0.346
Jason Kubel	0.335	0.471	0.301	0.345
Cody Ross	0.316	0.488	0.303	0.345
Josh Anderson	0.338	0.426	0.37	0.344
Luke Scott	0.336	0.472	0.283	0.343
Joe Inglett	0.355	0.407	0.332	0.341
Skip Schumaker	0.359	0.406	0.328	0.341
Willie Harris	0.344	0.417	0.274	0.34
Ichiro Suzuki	0.361	0.386	0.337	0.339
Ryan Church	0.346	0.439	0.339	0.339
Scott Hairston	0.312	0.479	0.284	0.339
Marcus Thames	0.292	0.516	0.26	0.339
Reed Johnson	0.358	0.42	0.367	0.338
David Murphy	0.321	0.465	0.3	0.337
Ben Francisco	0.332	0.438	0.301	0.336
Brian Deon Barton	0.354	0.392	0.348	0.335
Coco Crisp	0.344	0.407	0.322	0.335
Joe Mather	0.306	0.474	0.258	0.335
Ken Griffey Jr.	0.353	0.424	0.272	0.335
Chase Headley	0.337	0.42	0.367	0.334
Dewayne Wise	0.293	0.45	0.286	0.334
Hunter Pence	0.318	0.466	0.303	0.334
Jacoby Ellsbury	0.336	0.394	0.314	0.333
Gabe Gross	0.336	0.414	0.276	0.332
Angel Pagan	0.346	0.374	0.342	0.33
Luis Montanez	0.316	0.446	0.337	0.33
Chris Young	0.315	0.443	0.304	0.329
Frank Catalanotto	0.342	0.399	0.304	0.329
Kosuke Fukudome	0.359	0.379	0.307	0.328
Ryan Sweeney	0.35	0.383	0.337	0.328
Jay Bruce	0.314	0.453	0.298	0.328
Corey Hart	0.3	0.459	0.298	0.327
Luis Gonzalez	0.336	0.413	0.279	0.327
Omar Infante	0.338	0.416	0.333	0.327
Garret Anderson	0.325	0.433	0.318	0.326
Adam Lind	0.316	0.439	0.322	0.325
Aaron Rowand	0.339	0.41	0.332	0.325
Lastings Milledge	0.33	0.402	0.305	0.325
Nick Swisher	0.332	0.41	0.251	0.325
Delmon Young	0.336	0.405	0.341	0.324
Brandon Boggs	0.333	0.399	0.308	0.324
Willie Bloomquist	0.377	0.285	0.338	0.321
Jeremy Hermida	0.323	0.406	0.311	0.321
Nyjer Morgan	0.345	0.375	0.367	0.32
Carl Crawford	0.319	0.4	0.301	0.319
William Venable	0.339	0.391	0.31	0.319
Jose Guillen	0.3	0.438	0.292	0.318
Chris Duncan	0.346	0.365	0.299	0.318
Mark Kotsay	0.329	0.403	0.299	0.316
Gregor Blanco	0.366	0.309	0.324	0.316
Brandon Moss	0.304	0.436	0.316	0.315
Travis Buck	0.291	0.432	0.255	0.314
Steve Pearce	0.294	0.422	0.277	0.314
Adam Jones	0.311	0.4	0.333	0.313
Jolbert Cabrera	0.31	0.4	0.313	0.313
Mark Teahen	0.313	0.402	0.308	0.311
Michael Cuddyer	0.33	0.369	0.286	0.311
David Dellucci	0.307	0.405	0.277	0.311
Daryle Ward	0.319	0.402	0.243	0.309
Paul McAnulty	0.341	0.341	0.275	0.309
Brian Anderson	0.272	0.436	0.266	0.309
Ryan Freel	0.34	0.359	0.345	0.309
Franklin Gutierrez	0.307	0.383	0.299	0.306
Brandon Jones	0.312	0.397	0.345	0.306
Juan Rivera	0.282	0.438	0.242	0.306
Juan Pierre	0.327	0.328	0.3	0.304
Alfredo Amezaga	0.312	0.367	0.303	0.303
Gary Matthews Jr.	0.319	0.357	0.294	0.303
Scott Podsednik	0.322	0.333	0.301	0.301
Jonny Gomes	0.282	0.383	0.2	0.301
Nicholas Evans	0.303	0.404	0.313	0.301
Willy Taveras	0.308	0.296	0.298	0.301
Delwyn Young	0.321	0.341	0.33	0.3
Kevin Mench	0.321	0.357	0.289	0.3
Jeff Salazar	0.331	0.344	0.294	0.299
Emil Brown	0.297	0.386	0.262	0.298
Geoff Jenkins	0.301	0.392	0.292	0.297
Jeremy Reed	0.314	0.36	0.305	0.296
Ryan Raburn	0.298	0.368	0.302	0.295
Carlos Gomez	0.296	0.36	0.332	0.294
Darin Erstad	0.309	0.363	0.34	0.291
Rajai Davis	0.272	0.346	0.287	0.289
Jason Michaels	0.292	0.36	0.263	0.289
Shannon Stewart	0.325	0.303	0.263	0.288
Austin Kearns	0.311	0.316	0.251	0.287
Jay Payton	0.291	0.346	0.27	0.287
Dave Roberts	0.341	0.28	0.27	0.286
Jeff Francoeur	0.294	0.359	0.277	0.286
Melky Cabrera	0.301	0.341	0.273	0.285
Esteban German	0.303	0.338	0.305	0.285
Endy Chavez	0.308	0.33	0.287	0.284
Brett Gardner	0.283	0.299	0.299	0.282
Joey Gathright	0.311	0.272	0.297	0.28
Carlos Gonzalez	0.273	0.361	0.318	0.278
Eric Byrnes	0.272	0.369	0.226	0.278
Michael Bourn	0.288	0.3	0.291	0.276
Brad Wilkerson	0.308	0.326	0.281	0.275
Eric Bruntlett	0.297	0.297	0.251	0.272
So Taguchi	0.283	0.297	0.26	0.27
Reggie Willits	0.321	0.231	0.256	0.267
Alexander Romero	0.25	0.341	0.263	0.264
Eric Patterson	0.284	0.246	0.258	0.262
Chris Burke	0.31	0.273	0.231	0.262
Wladimir Balentien	0.25	0.342	0.268	0.257
Matt Diaz	0.264	0.304	0.307	0.252
Corey Patterson	0.238	0.344	0.217	0.25
Marlon Anderson	0.255	0.275	0.255	0.239
Andruw Jones	0.256	0.249	0.231	0.234
Wily Mo Pena	0.243	0.267	0.262	0.227
Jacque Jones	0.239	0.207	0.18	0.204