I included pitchers with 160-plus innings this year with the hope that we might find a few pitchers ready to make an innings leap. Not many made the cut, due to our high standards.
Name | IP | W | K/9 | K/BB | GB% | BABIP | BB/9 | SIERA | xFIP |
Zack Greinke | 171.2 | 16 | 10.54 | 4.47 | 47.30% | 0.318 | 2.36 | 2.66 | 2.56 |
Brandon Morrow | 179.1 | 11 | 10.19 | 2.94 | 36.00% | 0.299 | 3.46 | 3.31 | 3.53 |
Clayton Kershaw | 233.1 | 21 | 9.57 | 4.59 | 43.20% | 0.269 | 2.08 | 2.81 | 2.84 |
Anibal Sanchez | 196.1 | 8 | 9.26 | 3.16 | 44.30% | 0.31 | 2.93 | 3.29 | 3.25 |
Cliff Lee | 232.2 | 17 | 9.21 | 5.67 | 46.30% | 0.291 | 1.62 | 2.72 | 2.68 |
Tim Lincecum | 217 | 13 | 9.12 | 2.56 | 47.90% | 0.281 | 3.57 | 3.46 | 3.36 |
Michael Pineda | 171 | 9 | 9.11 | 3.15 | 36.30% | 0.258 | 2.89 | 3.36 | 3.53 |
Yovani Gallardo | 207.1 | 17 | 8.99 | 3.51 | 46.60% | 0.291 | 2.56 | 3.22 | 3.19 |
Justin Verlander | 251 | 24 | 8.96 | 4.39 | 40.20% | 0.236 | 2.04 | 2.99 | 3.12 |
Matt Garza | 198 | 10 | 8.95 | 3.13 | 46.30% | 0.306 | 2.86 | 3.31 | 3.19 |
Gio Gonzalez | 202 | 16 | 8.78 | 2.16 | 47.50% | 0.287 | 4.05 | 3.78 | 3.73 |
David Price | 224.1 | 12 | 8.75 | 3.46 | 44.30% | 0.281 | 2.53 | 3.27 | 3.32 |
CC Sabathia | 237.1 | 19 | 8.72 | 3.77 | 46.60% | 0.318 | 2.31 | 3.14 | 3.02 |
Ubaldo Jimenez | 188.1 | 10 | 8.6 | 2.31 | 47.20% | 0.314 | 3.73 | 3.74 | 3.71 |
Mat Latos | 194.1 | 9 | 8.57 | 2.98 | 42.80% | 0.284 | 2.87 | 3.48 | 3.52 |
Felix Hernandez | 233.2 | 14 | 8.55 | 3.31 | 50.20% | 0.307 | 2.58 | 3.22 | 3.15 |
Jon Lester | 191.2 | 15 | 8.55 | 2.43 | 50.50% | 0.286 | 3.52 | 3.59 | 3.62 |
Bud Norris | 186 | 6 | 8.52 | 2.51 | 39.70% | 0.294 | 3.39 | 3.73 | 3.73 |
Ryan Dempster | 202.1 | 10 | 8.5 | 2.33 | 44.10% | 0.324 | 3.65 | 3.79 | 3.7 |
Roy Halladay | 233.2 | 19 | 8.47 | 6.29 | 50.90% | 0.298 | 1.35 | 2.79 | 2.71 |
Madison Bumgarner | 204.2 | 13 | 8.4 | 4.15 | 46.00% | 0.322 | 2.02 | 3.18 | 3.1 |
C.J. Wilson | 223.1 | 16 | 8.3 | 2.78 | 49.30% | 0.287 | 2.98 | 3.44 | 3.41 |
A.J. Burnett | 190.1 | 11 | 8.18 | 2.08 | 49.20% | 0.294 | 3.92 | 3.89 | 3.86 |
Josh Beckett | 193 | 13 | 8.16 | 3.37 | 40.10% | 0.245 | 2.42 | 3.43 | 3.58 |
Chris Capuano | 186 | 11 | 8.13 | 3.17 | 42.70% | 0.311 | 2.56 | 3.6 | 3.67 |
James Shields | 249.1 | 16 | 8.12 | 3.46 | 46.20% | 0.258 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 3.25 |
Cole Hamels | 216 | 14 | 8.08 | 4.41 | 52.30% | 0.255 | 1.83 | 3.03 | 3.02 |
Max Scherzer | 195 | 15 | 8.03 | 3.11 | 40.30% | 0.314 | 2.58 | 3.63 | 3.7 |
Ian Kennedy | 222 | 21 | 8.03 | 3.6 | 38.60% | 0.27 | 2.23 | 3.44 | 3.5 |
Wandy Rodriguez | 191 | 11 | 7.82 | 2.41 | 45.20% | 0.289 | 3.25 | 3.8 | 3.72 |
Colby Lewis | 200.1 | 14 | 7.59 | 3.02 | 34.10% | 0.265 | 2.52 | 3.88 | 4.1 |
Javier Vazquez | 192.2 | 13 | 7.57 | 3.24 | 34.20% | 0.279 | 2.34 | 3.78 | 3.87 |
Jered Weaver | 235.2 | 18 | 7.56 | 3.54 | 32.50% | 0.25 | 2.14 | 3.67 | 3.8 |
The names I find most interesting as potential bargains are Anibal Sanchez, Ubaldo Jimenez, Bud Norris, Ryan Dempster, A.J. Burnett, Chris Capuano and Max Scherzer. These pitchers are the ones on this list I would give the greatest odds of having a breakout season as well as coming at a potential discount for various reasons.
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